Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.181660 0.215901 0.254323 0.300560 0.354619 0.415748 0.490037
2025-05-18 0.125395 0.167426 0.219838 0.289703 0.380069 0.492654 0.643167
2025-05-25 0.092700 0.135259 0.192742 0.275471 0.390787 0.545022 0.765978
2025-06-01 0.076508 0.120093 0.182936 0.279182 0.421657 0.623311 0.928453
2025-06-08 0.061451 0.103026 0.166590 0.269485 0.430127 0.669073 1.048335
2025-06-15 0.053526 0.095103 0.162025 0.275717 0.461583 0.750125 1.227226
2025-06-22 0.046316 0.086885 0.155388 0.277093 0.484679 0.819808 1.394986
2025-06-29 0.039583 0.078204 0.146457 0.272958 0.497509 0.873551 1.541759
2025-07-06 0.034116 0.070805 0.138500 0.269064 0.509655 0.926556 1.691650
2025-07-13 0.031469 0.068276 0.138862 0.279941 0.548690 1.028682 1.934982
2025-07-20 0.030278 0.068410 0.144160 0.300530 0.607489 1.170848 2.262056
2025-07-27 0.028210 0.066366 0.144868 0.312181 0.650492 1.288212 2.554725
2025-08-03 0.024721 0.060898 0.138342 0.309476 0.667230 1.362114 2.781240
2025-08-10 0.020968 0.054183 0.128269 0.298187 0.665740 1.401833 2.948456
2025-08-17 0.017566 0.047613 0.117424 0.283552 0.655207 1.422201 3.079195
2025-08-24 0.015918 0.045011 0.115094 0.287363 0.684297 1.525215 3.386407
2025-08-31 0.013657 0.040388 0.107279 0.277400 0.681662 1.561821 3.559463
2025-09-07 0.012601 0.038762 0.106452 0.283803 0.716713 1.681837 3.920462
2025-09-14 0.011411 0.036531 0.103752 0.285217 0.740231 1.778887 4.240758
2025-09-21 0.010110 0.033714 0.099079 0.280968 0.749608 1.845152 4.498955
2025-09-28 0.008982 0.031180 0.094751 0.276967 0.759028 1.912287 4.765307
2025-10-05 0.008545 0.030707 0.096043 0.288143 0.807981 2.076378 5.270951
2025-10-12 0.008470 0.031396 0.100746 0.309298 0.885067 2.314577 5.972165